AI Pathfinder

Intelligent Capital Routing and Risk Management Engine

Overview

The AI Pathfinder is a suite of proprietary machine learning models built on top of the Vorn data pipeline. These models serve multiple core functions: generating personalized risk scores, identifying optimal capital deployment paths, and monitoring risk — including anomaly detection and automated rebalancing.

As the intelligence engine behind yield discovery on the Vorn Protocol, the AI Pathfinder evaluates a wide range of key metrics tied to underlying DeFi strategies. It is capable of identifying optimal deployment paths from thousands of options in under one millisecond, ensuring speed without compromising analytical depth.


How it works

Data ingestion

The Pathfinder continuously ingests data from a variety of curated sources, including blockchain transactions, historical performance metrics, and protocol-specific volumetrics. This raw data is analyzed to uncover trends, shifts, and emerging patterns relevant to capital allocation.

Path Evaluation

Each potential investment path is evaluated using over 30 distinct factors — including risk-adjusted returns, transaction costs, liquidity, and trading volume. These variables are ranked algorithmically to maximize yield while minimizing exposure, ensuring an optimal trade-off between performance and risk.

Personalization

The AI Pathfinder is tightly integrated with user profiling. It tailors outputs based on individual risk tolerance, investment goals, and preferred deployment assets. This personalized approach ensures that each strategy aligns with a user’s unique financial profile and comfort with risk.

Continuous Learning

Given the pace of change in decentralized finance, continuous adaptation is critical. The Pathfinder updates its models and strategy recommendations in real time as new data becomes available, ensuring decisions reflect the latest protocol behaviors, market dynamics, and user activity.


Risk Parameters

Creating robust, individualized risk profiles requires the use of comprehensive and meaningful data. Vorn evaluates 30 risk parameters across several key categories. These parameters are frequently expanded and refined to improve user alignment and system accuracy.

Protocol activity (7D)

  • Returning Depositors: Number of existing users making additional deposits

  • New Depositors: First-time depositors

  • Active Depositors: Total active depositor count

  • Withdrawals Completed: Finalized withdrawals

  • Withdrawals Started: Initiated but unconfirmed withdrawals

Volume Metrics

  • Trading Volume (7D): Cumulative trading activity

  • TVL: Total Value Locked in a protocol

  • Inflow Deposit Volume (7D): Aggregate incoming deposits

  • Outflow Deposit Volume (7D): Aggregate outgoing deposits

Tokenomics

  • APY: Annual Percentage Yield for a specific asset

  • Asset Value: Reliability of the asset’s price feed

  • Asset Value Average (7D): Price feed consistency over time

  • Volume Weighted Average Price (7D): Market-validated asset value

  • Premium on Average Peg: Deviation from peg indicating arbitrage potential

  • Premium on Volume Weighted Average Peg: Mispricing from peg across wider markets

Collateral Metrics

  • Collateral Diversity: Range of accepted asset types

  • Collateral Pools: Number of existing pools for a specific asset

  • Pool Diversity: Number of pools to be used within a strategy

  • Number of Accepted Collateral Assets: Breadth of available collateral

  • Collateral Native Score: Risk rating based on protocol-native asset integration

Smart Contract Factors

  • Gas Cost for Staking: Maximum acceptable cost for deploying a strategy

Penalty Metrics

  • Slashing Occurrences: Number of validator slashing incidents

  • Total Slashing Amount: Cumulative financial losses (USD) due to slashing


Risk Scoring

Vorn assigns a risk score between 0 and 10, where 0 represents minimal risk and 10 represents maximum exposure. Users can define their acceptable risk threshold, which filters strategy suggestions accordingly.

Once a user profile and risk tolerance are defined, the Pathfinder analyzes all relevant parameters to generate a curated set of strategies, each accompanied by projected APYs and corresponding risk scores. This data-driven approach ensures informed decision-making grounded in measurable insights.

Vorn is actively testing and refining several modeling approaches to optimize its risk scoring system:

  • Regression Analysis - Used to predict the impact of financial indicators on risk, enabling real-time adjustments. The system incorporates validation metrics to ensure accuracy across dynamic conditions.

  • Decision trees & Feature Ranking - Decision trees decompose complex risk models into simpler, rule-based components. Feature ranking prioritizes the variables that contribute most significantly to risk, offering transparency and explainability.

  • Gradient Boosting - A powerful error-correcting technique that iteratively improves prediction accuracy. It is particularly useful in refining borderline or complex risk profiles.

  • Deep Learning Models

    • GANs (Generative Adversarial Networks): Detect anomalies such as unexpected volatility or irregular trading behavior

    • LSTMs (Long Short-Term Memory networks): Analyze time-series data to predict future risk trends

    • CNNs (Convolutional Neural Networks): Support spatial and pattern recognition to complement risk modeling

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